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Hurricane Hilary could bring rain to Oregon next week

Hilary is expected to dump rain on Southern California this weekend into Monday. Oregon could also see rain next week.
Credit: AP
Satellite image taken on Aug. 17, 2023 shows Hurricane Hilary off the Pacific coast of Mexico (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration via AP)

PORTLAND, Oregon — Following a stretch of record-setting heat, Oregon could see rain next week as Tropical Storm Hilary moves from the Pacific Ocean and makes a northward turn toward the southwestern U.S.

Hilary strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane off Mexico's Pacific coast Friday morning, with winds near 145 mph. It's expected to skim the edge of the Baja coast by the weekend and approach Southern California on Sunday.

While the forecast could change, current modeling shows that Hilary will still be a powerful hurricane when it approaches Baja California, and a tropical storm as it makes landfall between San Diego and Los Angeles.

Credit: National Weather Service/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

"That would be truly remarkable," said KGW Chief Meteorologist Matt Zaffino Wednesday night on The Story. "We have had tropical storms hit Southern California. Ignacio in 1997, dumped a bunch of rain down there, and then moved north and actually dropped some rain in Oregon.”

In August of 1997, Ignacio weakened from a tropical storm into a tropical depression before moving inland into California. The last known tropical storm to hit California happened 84 years ago in September of 1939, and it was informally known as "El Cordonazo" or "The Lash of St. Francis."

For the first time, the National Hurricane Center has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Southern California, Zaffino said.

The heaviest rainfall from Hilary could include a stretch between San Diego, California and Yuma, Arizona, along with the area between Bakersfield, California and Tucson, Arizona. Those areas have the potential for major flooding.

"That rain shield eventually makes it into Oregon. We could end up getting rain from a former hurricane off the coast of Mexico. That is super unusual as well. So our summer of unusual weather keeps going," Zaffino said.

The rainfall outlook from the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center, according to Zaffino, shows significant rain across Oregon by next Wednesday. Portland could see 0.17 inches of rain by 8 p.m. on Wednesday, while Bend could see 0.51 inches and 0.71 inches could drop on Burns.

“The good thing about that would be the impact on the wildfires," Zaffino said.

Breaking down hurricane terminology

Below is a guide on some common terminology defined by the National Hurricane Center:

  • Tropical Depression: Wind speed less than 39 mph
  • Tropical Storm: Wind speed between 39 mph and 73 mph
  • Hurricane: Wind speed between 74 mph and 110 mph
  • Major hurricane: Wind speed greater than 110 mph
  • Tropical cyclone: A rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms originating over tropical or subtropical waters.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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