The 91st Academy Awards air this Sunday.
If you haven’t finished your ballot just yet and you can’t decide who to pick, you can let the oddsmakers be your guide to winning your Oscars pool.
Oddsmaker Bovada is one of many sportsbooks with betting odds for all the major categories and they’re also offering some interesting proposition bets, also known as “props.” You'll find those at the bottom of this story.
Reading the odds
The number next to each nominee is called the money line. It gives the amount of money a bettor would win with a $100 bet, or the amount of money a bettor must wager to win $100.
For example, if a movie is +500 to win Best Picture, that means a bet of $100 would earn the bettor $500 profit if that movie wins. In the case of a negative money line such as -300, a bettor would need to place a bet of $300 to win $100 profit. If the odds are even, a $100 bet wins $100 profit.
The favorite in each category has the lowest money line. In the eyes of oddsmakers, a movie with a money line of -300 is much more likely to win a category than a movie with a money line of +500.
Here are the odds, courtesy of Bovada, for all the winners as of Feb. 21:
Best Picture
Roma -330
Green Book +360
Bohemian Rhapsody +1800
The Favourite +1800
A Star Is Born +3000
BlacKkKlansman +3000
Black Panther +3000
Vice +5000
"Roma" has become the clear favorite to win the night’s top prize. It has a 98 percent score from the top critics on Rotten Tomatoes.
Meanwhile, critics have accused the film’s closest competition, "Green Book" and "Bohemian Rhapsody," of inaccuracies surrounding the central characters in the stories.
Once thought to be a clear Best Picture favorite, "A Star is Born" has fallen off during the awards season.
Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) -2000
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) +550
Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War) +2500
Adam McKay (Vice) +3300
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) +3300
Not much to discuss here. This category appears to be a clear runaway for Cuaron. It would be a shock if he didn’t take home the Oscar.
Best Actor
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) -400
Christian Bale (Vice) +250
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) +1400
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) +3300
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) +5000
This appears to be a two-man showdown between Malek, whose performance as Freddie Mercury won him the Golden Globe for Best Actor (Musical or Comedy) and a Screen Actors Guild Award for Best Actor, against Bale, winner of the Golden Globe for Best Actor (Drama) for his portrayal of former Vice President Dick Cheney. Don’t sleep on Bradley Cooper’s value with 14 to 1 odds.
Best Actress
Glenn Close (The Wife) -550
Olivia Colman (The Favourite) +350
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born) +1000
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) +4000
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +5000
Glenn Close has dominated the awards season, winning a Golden Globe and a Screen Actors Guild Award. Colman won a Golden Globe for Best Actress (Musical or Comedy) for her performance as Queen Anne. As for Lady Gaga, she looks like a long shot at this point.
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) -1400
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +700
Sam Elliot (A Star Is Born) +900
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +3300
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +5000
This one appears to be another runaway. If there’s a dark horse in this category it’s likely Grant, who’s received plenty of buzz for his performance in "Can You Ever Forgive Me?"
Best Supporting Actress
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -280
Amy Adams (Vice) +300
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) +800
Marina de Tavira (Roma) +1500
Emma Stone (The Favourite) +2000
King is the clear favorite here. She won the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress, but wasn’t nominated for a Screen Actors Guild Award.
Best Animated Feature
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse -1500
Incredibles 2 +900
Isle of Dogs +900
Ralph Breaks the Internet +2500
Mirai +4000
Best Documentary Feature
Free Solo -200
RBG +130
Minding the Gap +1500
Hale County This Morning, This Evening +4000
Of Fathers and Sons +5000
Best Original Screenplay
The Favourite -200
Green Book +200
Roma +750
First Reformed +1400
Vice +4000
Best Adapted Screenplay
BlacKkKlansman -250
Can You Ever Forgive Me? +275
If Beale Street Could Talk +600
A Star Is Born +2000
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +5000
Best Cinematography
Roma -2000
Cold War +900
A Star Is Born +1500
The Favourite +1500
Never Look Away +4000
Best Film Editing
Vice -150
Bohemian Rhapsody +250
The Favourite +350
BlacKkKlansman +1500
Green Book +3300
Best Costume Design
The Favourite -220
Black Panther +150
Mary Queen of Scots +2000
Mary Poppins Returns +2500
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +3300
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Vice -1500
Mary Queen of Scots +650
Border +2500
Best Original Song
“Shallow” (A Star Is Born) -3000
“All The Stars” (Black Panther) +750
“I’ll Fight” (RBG) +2000
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” (Mary Poppins Returns) +2000
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings” (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs) +4000
Best Original Score
If Beale Street Could Talk -200
Black Panther +250
Mary Poppins Returns +550
BlacKkKlansman +1600
Isle of Dogs +2500
Best Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War -500
First Man +325
Ready Player One +1000
Christopher Robin +3500
Solo: A Star Wars Story +5000
Best Production Design
The Favourite -230
Black Panther +200
Roma +900
First Man +2500
Mary Poppins Returns +2500
Best Sound Editing
First Man -250
A Quiet Place +350
Bohemian Rhapsody +600
Black Panther +1000
Roma +2500
Best Sound Mixing
Bohemian Rhapsody -135
A Star Is Born +105
First Man +1000
Black Panther +3300
Roma +5000
Prop Bets
These propositions won’t win you any categories in your Oscars pool, but these actual bets (yes, they're real) could be fun to discuss at your watch party. Which way would you lean with these?
1. Will an Oscar trophy be dropped during the ceremony?
Yes +400
No -700
2. Will any winners be bleeped during their acceptance speech?
Yes EVEN
No -140
3. How long will the ABC broadcast last?
Under 3 hours 15 minutes -140
Over 3 hours 15 minutes EVEN
4. How many times will “Trump” be mentioned on stage?
Over 1.5 -150
Under 1.5 +110
5. Will Liam Neeson be mentioned by name during the ceremony?
No -700
Yes +400
The Oscars will air Sunday, Feb. 24 at 5 p.m. PST on ABC.